Texas House dependent on HD 105 outcome
Nearly a month after the election, officials in State House District 105 are conducting a vote recount for the HD 105 race. Currently held by State Rep. Linda Harper-Brown (R), this Dallas-area seat is being watched carefully, as the possible fate of the Texas House rests in the outcome.
Harper-Brown has a 20-vote lead in her race against Democrat challenger Bob Romano; this slim margin of victory prompted Romano's campaign to request a recount. These 20 votes are also all that stands between a partisan tie in the House of Representatives (currently, Republicans hold the majority at 76-74 over Democrats).
Harper-Brown is also one of thirteen House Republicans who have publicly declared their support for sitting Speaker of the House, Tom Craddick (R-Midland). It is widely speculated that should Harper-Brown lose this seat, the resulting 75-75 tie in the House would be the biggest threat to Craddick's speakership. As a result, many House members have remained silent on the now-ten member race for the speakership, and the political world in Texas is virtually holding its breath awaiting the outcome of the recount.
But that's not all. The Texas Democrat Party has gone to federal court to seek intervention, primarily asking for Dallas County election officials to count "emphasis votes" as legal votes. On paper ballots, emphasis votes are counted; in this case, electronic balloting was used in early voting. An emphasis vote is where a person votes "straight-ticket" and then also votes for a specific candidate on the ballot. In electronic voting, emphasis voting causes the "de-selection" of the candidate in question. For instance, if you mark the Republican straight-ticket box, and then also select John Cornyn, you end up actually de-selecting him and your vote is not counted for Cornyn. With paper ballots, emphasis votes are clear, but in electronic voting the question becomes whether the voter intended to select or de-select the candidate.
It is an unnecessary practice, but nevertheless entered into by the occasional voter. Emphasis votes could make the difference between a Republican majority and a Democrat one in the Texas House; the TDP has asked that the paper ballot emphasis votes be counted.
The other option for the court would be to order a new election altogether, which is a scenario they don't necessarily want, since Romano's ability to draw back voters is in question. Either way, all eyes are on this race with the makeup of the Texas House in the balance.
To date, no candidate for speaker has released pledge cards or made the statement that he or she has the necessary 76 votes to win; the only declared support came in mid-November from the thirteen Republicans lining up with Craddick. With a little over a month to the January 13 speaker election, much jockeying and vote-counting is undoubtedly happening. If the House goes to the Democrats, or there is a less conservative or outright liberal speaker, many political agendas will have to be adjusted accordingly.
There is a lot at stake as the Legislature looks to the 81st Legislative Session; from property taxes and children's health insurance, to state university tuition and campaign finance reform, the bills filed so far cover a wide range of partisan and non-partisan concerns. A lot of what could happen going forward is dependent not only on the make-up of the House, but also on who is speaker. The speaker assigns members to committees, and designates chairmen, among other duties. There is good reason for the hand-wringing and endless discussion that is happening amongst the lobby and political circles in Austin, because so much is up in the air until the speaker is chosen.
One can argue that the HD 105 recount is interesting only to those most affected by it. The trouble is, all of Texas is affected by the outcome, and the TDP lawsuit could set in motion a series of events that could draw national attention to the race. The election may be over, but the politics is just beginning.
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